Please use this identifier to cite or link to this item:
https://hdl.handle.net/10216/94099
Full metadata record
DC Field | Value | Language |
---|---|---|
dc.creator | Manuel Herrera | |
dc.creator | Luis Torgo | |
dc.creator | Joaquin Izquierdo | |
dc.creator | Rafael Perez Garcia | |
dc.date.accessioned | 2020-07-22T23:09:49Z | - |
dc.date.available | 2020-07-22T23:09:49Z | - |
dc.date.issued | 2010 | |
dc.identifier.issn | 0022-1694 | |
dc.identifier.other | sigarra:97900 | |
dc.identifier.uri | https://hdl.handle.net/10216/94099 | - |
dc.description.abstract | One of the goals of efficient water supply management is the regular supply of clean water at the pressure required by consumers. In this context, predicting water consumption in urban areas is of key importance for water supply management. This prediction is also relevant in processes for reviewing prices: as well as for operational management of a water network. In this paper, we describe and compare a series of predictive models for forecasting water demand. The models are obtained using time series data from water consumption in an urban area of a city in south-eastern Spain. This includes highly non-linear time series data, which has conditioned the type of models we have included in our study. Namely, we have considered artificial neural networks, projection pursuit regression, multivariate adaptive regression splines, random forests and support vector regression. Apart from these models, we also propose a simple model based on the weighted demand profile resulting from our exploratory analysis of the data. In our comparative study, all predictive models were evaluated using an experimental methodology for hourly time series data that detailed water demand in a hydraulic sector of a water supply network in a city in south-eastern Spain. The accuracy of the obtained results, together with the medium size of the demand area, suggests that this was a suitable environment for making adequate management decisions. | |
dc.language.iso | eng | |
dc.rights | restrictedAccess | |
dc.subject | Algoritmos, Engenharia civil | |
dc.subject | Algorithms, Civil engineering | |
dc.title | Predictive models for forecasting hourly urban water demand | |
dc.type | Artigo em Revista Científica Internacional | |
dc.contributor.uporto | Faculdade de Ciências | |
dc.identifier.doi | 10.1016/j.jhydrol.2010.04.005 | |
dc.identifier.authenticus | P-003-5RW | |
dc.subject.fos | Ciências da engenharia e tecnologias::Engenharia civil | |
dc.subject.fos | Engineering and technology::Civil engineering | |
Appears in Collections: | FCUP - Artigo em Revista Científica Internacional |
Files in This Item:
File | Description | Size | Format | |
---|---|---|---|---|
97900.pdf Restricted Access | 608.62 kB | Adobe PDF | Request a copy from the Author(s) |
Items in DSpace are protected by copyright, with all rights reserved, unless otherwise indicated.